Who Is Predicted To Win In 2024. Ann selzer in west des moines, iowa, on monday, nov. Here are five prominent election forecasters with their takes on who will win the 2024 presidential election.

In 2016 and 2020, he outperformed the polls in the swing states, and he could do it again. Developed with the assistance of a team of political scientists led by andrew gelman of columbia university, our model calculates kamala harris’s and donald trump’s probabilities of winning each.